Unemployment and Fertility: A Long Run Relationship
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
Reconsidering the long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment
In this paper a brief history of the Phillips curve from Fisher (1973 [1926]) to the FriedmanPhelps natural rate hypothesis is sketched. Empirical evidence from France, Germany, the United Kingdom and the United States during the latter half of the 20th century in support of a positive long-run relationship between inflation and unemployment is presented. In order to reconcile the predominant t...
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This paper develops a theory that accounts for three stylized facts concerning growth and fertility in the long run. First, economies start in a “Malthusian Regime” with stagnant living standards and high fertility. Second, ultimately a “Growth Regime” is reached in which per capita income grows at near-constant rates, and fertility is low. Third, the speed and timing of the fertility decline d...
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This paper studies the contribution of inow and outow rates to the unemployment dynamics in the long-run. I nd that in the U.S., both inow and outow rates contribute signi cantly to variation in the long-run trend of the unemployment rate. Inow and outow rates account for roughly similar proportions of overall unemployment variability in the long-run. Keywords: Unemployment dynamics; Job...
متن کاملShort- and long-term effects of unemployment on fertility.
Scholars have been examining the relationship between fertility and unemployment for more than a century. Most studies find that fertility falls with unemployment in the short run, but it is not known whether these negative effects persist, because women simply may postpone childbearing to better economic times. Using more than 140 million US birth records for the period 1975-2010, we analyze b...
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Working papers of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland are preliminary materials circulated to stimulate discussion and critical comment on research in progress. They may not have been subject to the formal editorial review accorded offi cial Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland publications. The views stated herein are those of the authors and are not necessarily those of the Federal Reserve Ban...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: Social Indicators Research
سال: 2020
ISSN: 0303-8300,1573-0921
DOI: 10.1007/s11205-020-02468-8